Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 91645.951490 96646.511459 101643.379647 107007.811523 112600.358470 118255.354918 124402.213382
2025-07-06 83079.261732 90703.921713 98533.494524 107163.969325 116399.683290 125976.089222 136645.696408
2025-07-13 78075.873466 87598.141306 97586.951090 108824.802892 121093.677785 134059.463272 148775.399160
2025-07-20 74144.054710 85113.648010 96827.450796 110230.953705 125106.550422 141072.686670 159467.361476
2025-07-27 70587.850690 82685.139796 95806.873724 111044.725100 128198.459933 146856.837281 168630.139526
2025-08-03 67143.782397 80116.385104 94389.441906 111187.113956 130340.133734 151422.757455 176306.344159
2025-08-10 64295.892555 78031.314979 93342.162772 111581.655044 132620.839403 156029.364544 183941.118693
2025-08-17 61590.143432 75951.906972 92158.281832 111685.073985 134452.670630 160036.598278 190829.559040
2025-08-24 59828.783970 74868.924284 92031.934453 112926.018658 137526.078476 165417.109156 199270.453049
2025-08-31 57470.568350 72965.746792 90844.015439 112830.153348 138962.801261 168849.499405 205421.478322
2025-09-07 56165.618735 72254.257970 91003.981633 114273.620681 142169.085278 174320.804710 213951.438348
2025-09-14 54698.039872 71275.647311 90784.185531 115210.923717 144735.759266 179020.635453 221575.838747
2025-09-21 52851.092530 69784.531646 89911.807335 115342.307537 146339.177772 182607.080830 227941.472510
2025-09-28 51065.376621 68306.532345 89000.919527 115379.622625 147795.089639 186001.828281 234084.904511
2025-10-05 50244.311074 67997.535936 89494.555525 117113.508170 151300.305535 191858.106544 243207.740293
2025-10-12 49360.482672 67569.125336 89807.529934 118599.258113 154489.412606 197336.860561 251900.619226
2025-10-19 48236.099795 66789.767678 89644.551551 119461.346248 156889.683811 201852.524938 259438.280696
2025-10-26 46844.881751 65618.473055 88945.015057 119612.097213 158378.069574 205238.382905 265597.075071
2025-11-02 45649.651810 64661.959485 88482.505306 120030.704920 160178.036673 208996.605816 272218.889464
2025-11-09 44378.594501 63564.956293 87803.386701 120140.432339 161564.415546 212230.367931 278195.046828
2025-11-16 43694.803412 63222.158676 88077.395707 121457.206002 164472.511246 217361.847355 286550.687114
2025-11-23 42441.444866 62079.092457 87276.566955 121355.487140 165550.996631 220195.123350 292041.654435
2025-11-30 41925.185452 61912.280526 87739.788521 122886.978092 168720.620881 225665.592347 300866.420327